San Francisco 49ersStrength 78 • EPA 89 • Résumé 84 • SOS 56 • High confidence • Best win: Seattle Seahawks
5-0
94.9
↑1
FSN NFL MODEL
NFL Power Ratings & Computer Rankings
FSN ranks all 32 NFL teams with opponent-adjusted strength, EPA efficiency, résumé and schedule context. These 2026 NFL power ratings are model output — not a rewrite of the standings or a copied media ballot.
Opponent adjustedWho you played matters
Results are interpreted through opponent strength and schedule quality instead of treating every win or loss as equal.
EfficiencyEPA + scoring context
Current efficiency helps separate sustainable team strength from a record shaped by a small sample or unusual game script.
RésuméQuality of results counts
Strength-of-record, recent form and uncertainty controls keep the model responsive without overreacting to one Sunday.
NFL COMPUTER MODEL
1–322026 NFL Computer Power Rankings
2026 · through Week 5
Jacksonville JaguarsStrength 81 • EPA 86 • Résumé 73 • SOS 59 • High confidence • Best win: New England Patriots
4-1
94.6
↓1
Buffalo BillsStrength 72 • EPA 62 • Résumé 76 • SOS 79 • High confidence • Best win: Los Angeles Rams
4-1
86.3
↑3
Seattle SeahawksStrength 80 • EPA 58 • Résumé 55 • SOS 48 • High confidence • Best win: New England Patriots
3-2
85.4
↓1
New England PatriotsStrength 75 • EPA 56 • Résumé 65 • SOS 84 • High confidence • Best win: Buffalo Bills
3-2
84.9
↑3
Kansas City ChiefsStrength 64 • EPA 81 • Résumé 75 • SOS 30 • High confidence • Best win: Denver Broncos
4-0
84.4
↓1
Los Angeles RamsStrength 74 • EPA 67 • Résumé 49 • SOS 74 • High confidence • Best win: Philadelphia Eagles
2-3
83.9
↓3
Minnesota VikingsStrength 62 • EPA 68 • Résumé 80 • SOS 28 • High confidence • Best win: Chicago Bears
5-0
78.9
↑1
Baltimore RavensStrength 59 • EPA 70 • Résumé 63 • SOS 17 • High confidence • Best win: Atlanta Falcons
4-1
74.4
↑1
Detroit LionsStrength 60 • EPA 59 • Résumé 51 • SOS 24 • High confidence • Best win: New York Jets
3-2
67.5
↑6
Denver BroncosStrength 60 • EPA 40 • Résumé 67 • SOS 93 • High confidence • Best win: Jacksonville Jaguars
3-2
64.2
—
Cincinnati BengalsStrength 51 • EPA 66 • Résumé 59 • SOS 55 • High confidence • Best win: Houston Texans
3-2
62.4
—
Houston TexansStrength 60 • EPA 56 • Résumé 26 • SOS 40 • High confidence • Best win: Tennessee Titans
1-4
60.1
↑6
Chicago BearsStrength 59 • EPA 48 • Résumé 54 • SOS 40 • High confidence • Best win: Carolina Panthers
3-2
58.1
↓7
Green Bay PackersStrength 50 • EPA 48 • Résumé 56 • SOS 42 • High confidence • Best win: Chicago Bears
3-2
54.6
↑9
Carolina PanthersStrength 44 • EPA 60 • Résumé 50 • SOS 49 • High confidence • Best win: Detroit Lions
2-2
52.1
↓2
Pittsburgh SteelersStrength 53 • EPA 41 • Résumé 56 • SOS 54 • High confidence • Best win: Cincinnati Bengals
3-2
51.9
↑6
Atlanta FalconsStrength 46 • EPA 48 • Résumé 42 • SOS 44 • High confidence • Best win: Green Bay Packers
2-3
45.3
↓3
Indianapolis ColtsStrength 52 • EPA 31 • Résumé 45 • SOS 58 • High confidence • Best win: Houston Texans
2-3
40.6
↓6
Philadelphia EaglesStrength 49 • EPA 25 • Résumé 44 • SOS 53 • High confidence • Best win: Washington Commanders
2-3
34.4
↑1
Tampa Bay BuccaneersStrength 42 • EPA 48 • Résumé 27 • SOS 44 • High confidence • Best win: Dallas Cowboys
1-4
34.1
↑5
New York GiantsStrength 38 • EPA 42 • Résumé 56 • SOS 16 • High confidence • Best win: Dallas Cowboys
3-1-1
30.6
↓2
Dallas CowboysStrength 42 • EPA 42 • Résumé 41 • SOS 40 • High confidence • Best win: Houston Texans
2-3
31.8
↓6
Las Vegas RaidersStrength 32 • EPA 45 • Résumé 55 • SOS 41 • High confidence • Best win: Los Angeles Chargers
3-2
25.5
↓6
Cleveland BrownsStrength 33 • EPA 44 • Résumé 56 • SOS 48 • High confidence • Best win: Carolina Panthers
3-2
25.3
↓3
New York JetsStrength 26 • EPA 56 • Résumé 40 • SOS 33 • High confidence • Best win: Cleveland Browns
2-3
21.7
↑3
Los Angeles ChargersStrength 38 • EPA 31 • Résumé 17 • SOS 60 • High confidence
0-5
21.1
↓2
Washington CommandersStrength 29 • EPA 43 • Résumé 38 • SOS 56 • High confidence • Best win: Seattle Seahawks
1-3-1
18.5
↓1
New Orleans SaintsStrength 30 • EPA 23 • Résumé 30 • SOS 54 • High confidence • Best win: Baltimore Ravens
1-4
10.2
↑1
Arizona CardinalsStrength 24 • EPA 27 • Résumé 35 • SOS 73 • High confidence • Best win: Los Angeles Chargers
1-4
9.6
↓2
Miami DolphinsStrength 24 • EPA 20 • Résumé 21 • SOS 69 • High confidence
0-5
7.8
—
Tennessee TitansStrength 13 • EPA 20 • Résumé 13 • SOS 42 • High confidence
0-5
4.1
—
TRANSPARENT MODEL
How FSN NFL Power Ratings Work
Opponent-adjusted power
FSN combines opponent-adjusted neutral-field team strength, current EPA efficiency when available, strength-of-record, recent opponent-adjusted form, schedule context, and an early-season prior that fades as current results accumulate. Head-to-head breaks near-ties.
EPA is context, not the whole answer
Efficiency signals help explain how teams are performing beneath the win-loss record. FSN combines them with opponent quality and résumé rather than ranking teams from one metric.
Small samples are controlled
Early-season priors and sample-size controls fade as the current season supplies more evidence, reducing wild swings from one unusual result.
Power ratings answer a different question than standings: how strong is each team right now after accounting for who it played and how it performed? For postseason probability, use the FSN Playoff Predictor; for one matchup, use the NFL Game Simulator.
Open NFL Playoff Predictor → Open NFL Game Simulator →MOVEMENT + ANALYSIS
Rankings Lab →