FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 9

NFL Week 9 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 9 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots

MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 28 minutes ago

NFL PREDICTIONS Week 9 Nov 5–Nov 9

2026 NFL WEEK 9

NFL Week 9 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Thu, Nov 5 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens Prediction

JAXJacksonville Jaguars 24

BALBaltimore Ravens 22

FSN PICK Jacksonville Jaguars 60%

FSN gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 60% win probability against the Baltimore Ravens, with a projected score of Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Baltimore Ravens 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET LIVE MODEL

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons Prediction

CINCincinnati Bengals 25

ATLAtlanta Falcons 23

FSN PICK Cincinnati Bengals 60%

FSN gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 60% win probability against the Atlanta Falcons, with a projected score of Cincinnati Bengals 25, Atlanta Falcons 23. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Cincinnati Bengals.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers Prediction

DENDenver Broncos 24

CARCarolina Panthers 26

FSN PICK Carolina Panthers 58%

FSN gives the Carolina Panthers a 58% win probability against the Denver Broncos, with a projected score of Denver Broncos 24, Carolina Panthers 26. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Denver Broncos.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

DALDallas Cowboys 26

INDIndianapolis Colts 27

FSN PICK Indianapolis Colts 54%

FSN gives the Indianapolis Colts a 54% win probability against the Dallas Cowboys, with a projected score of Dallas Cowboys 26, Indianapolis Colts 27. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Indianapolis Colts.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

NYJNew York Jets 15

KCKansas City Chiefs 28

FSN PICK Kansas City Chiefs 88%

FSN gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 88% win probability against the New York Jets, with a projected score of New York Jets 15, Kansas City Chiefs 28. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Kansas City Chiefs.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins Prediction

DETDetroit Lions 33

MIAMiami Dolphins 18

FSN PICK Detroit Lions 91%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 91% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of Detroit Lions 33, Miami Dolphins 18. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Prediction

CLECleveland Browns 24

NONew Orleans Saints 23

FSN PICK Cleveland Browns 52%

FSN gives the Cleveland Browns a 52% win probability against the New Orleans Saints, with a projected score of Cleveland Browns 24, New Orleans Saints 23. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward New Orleans Saints.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

NYGNew York Giants 20

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 22

FSN PICK Philadelphia Eagles 58%

FSN gives the Philadelphia Eagles a 58% win probability against the New York Giants, with a projected score of New York Giants 20, Philadelphia Eagles 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Philadelphia Eagles.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders Prediction

LARLos Angeles Rams 30

WASWashington Commanders 21

FSN PICK Los Angeles Rams 80%

FSN gives the Los Angeles Rams a 80% win probability against the Washington Commanders, with a projected score of Los Angeles Rams 30, Washington Commanders 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Los Angeles Rams.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

HOUHouston Texans 27

LACLos Angeles Chargers 17

FSN PICK Houston Texans 83%

FSN gives the Houston Texans a 83% win probability against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected score of Houston Texans 27, Los Angeles Chargers 17. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Houston Texans.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers Prediction

LVLas Vegas Raiders 17

SFSan Francisco 49ers 34

FSN PICK San Francisco 49ers 94%

FSN gives the San Francisco 49ers a 94% win probability against the Las Vegas Raiders, with a projected score of Las Vegas Raiders 17, San Francisco 49ers 34. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward San Francisco 49ers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots Prediction

GBGreen Bay Packers 17

NENew England Patriots 25

FSN PICK New England Patriots 75%

FSN gives the New England Patriots a 75% win probability against the Green Bay Packers, with a projected score of Green Bay Packers 17, New England Patriots 25. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

ARIArizona Cardinals 17

SEASeattle Seahawks 34

FSN PICK Seattle Seahawks 93%

FSN gives the Seattle Seahawks a 93% win probability against the Arizona Cardinals, with a projected score of Arizona Cardinals 17, Seattle Seahawks 34. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Seattle Seahawks.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 8 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears Prediction

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 19

CHIChicago Bears 24

FSN PICK Chicago Bears 70%

FSN gives the Chicago Bears a 70% win probability against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a projected score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19, Chicago Bears 24. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Chicago Bears.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Mon, Nov 9 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings Prediction

BUFBuffalo Bills 26

MINMinnesota Vikings 22

FSN PICK Buffalo Bills 64%

FSN gives the Buffalo Bills a 64% win probability against the Minnesota Vikings, with a projected score of Buffalo Bills 26, Minnesota Vikings 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Buffalo Bills.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Green Bay Packers GB 17

25% win

PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET

Gillette Stadium

New England Patriots NE 25

75% win

SIMULATIONS

DATA COVERAGE Excellent

SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—

Median margin—

Overtime / tie path—

Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

WHY THE MODEL LEANS

Key matchup drivers

PLAYER LAYER

Quarterbacks and injuries

GAME CONTEXT

Environment and model inputs

HOW IT WORKS

A prediction tool that shows its work

FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

How FSN weekly predictions update

Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

MORE FSN TOOLS

NFL Confidence Pool PicksRank Week 9 winners → Field Goal Kicking GameFlick kicks, wind and leaderboards → NFL Playoff PredictorSim the season to a Super Bowl winner → NFL Scores & Game CenterFollow every game →