FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 7

NFL Week 7 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 7 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots

MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 33 minutes ago

NFL PREDICTIONS Week 7 Oct 22–Oct 26

2026 NFL WEEK 7

NFL Week 7 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Thu, Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Prediction

NENew England Patriots 23

CHIChicago Bears 20

FSN PICK New England Patriots 61%

FSN gives the New England Patriots a 61% win probability against the Chicago Bears, with a projected score of New England Patriots 23, Chicago Bears 20. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET LIVE MODEL

Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints Prediction

PITPittsburgh Steelers 27

NONew Orleans Saints 21

FSN PICK Pittsburgh Steelers 71%

FSN gives the Pittsburgh Steelers a 71% win probability against the New Orleans Saints, with a projected score of Pittsburgh Steelers 27, New Orleans Saints 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Pittsburgh Steelers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons Prediction

SFSan Francisco 49ers 29

ATLAtlanta Falcons 20

FSN PICK San Francisco 49ers 78%

FSN gives the San Francisco 49ers a 78% win probability against the Atlanta Falcons, with a projected score of San Francisco 49ers 29, Atlanta Falcons 20. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward San Francisco 49ers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens Prediction

CINCincinnati Bengals 23

BALBaltimore Ravens 27

FSN PICK Baltimore Ravens 65%

FSN gives the Baltimore Ravens a 65% win probability against the Cincinnati Bengals, with a projected score of Cincinnati Bengals 23, Baltimore Ravens 27. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Baltimore Ravens.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers Prediction

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 22

CARCarolina Panthers 27

FSN PICK Carolina Panthers 69%

FSN gives the Carolina Panthers a 69% win probability against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a projected score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22, Carolina Panthers 27. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Carolina Panthers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Giants at Houston Texans Prediction

NYGNew York Giants 17

HOUHouston Texans 26

FSN PICK Houston Texans 80%

FSN gives the Houston Texans a 80% win probability against the New York Giants, with a projected score of New York Giants 17, Houston Texans 26. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Houston Texans.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings Prediction

INDIndianapolis Colts 19

MINMinnesota Vikings 25

FSN PICK Minnesota Vikings 72%

FSN gives the Minnesota Vikings a 72% win probability against the Indianapolis Colts, with a projected score of Indianapolis Colts 19, Minnesota Vikings 25. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Minnesota Vikings.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets Prediction

MIAMiami Dolphins 17

NYJNew York Jets 22

FSN PICK New York Jets 67%

FSN gives the New York Jets a 67% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of Miami Dolphins 17, New York Jets 22. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward New York Jets.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans Prediction

CLECleveland Browns 22

TENTennessee Titans 16

FSN PICK Cleveland Browns 72%

FSN gives the Cleveland Browns a 72% win probability against the Tennessee Titans, with a projected score of Cleveland Browns 22, Tennessee Titans 16. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Cleveland Browns.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals Prediction

DENDenver Broncos 28

ARIArizona Cardinals 20

FSN PICK Denver Broncos 79%

FSN gives the Denver Broncos a 79% win probability against the Arizona Cardinals, with a projected score of Denver Broncos 28, Arizona Cardinals 20. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Denver Broncos.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Prediction

GBGreen Bay Packers 23

DETDetroit Lions 30

FSN PICK Detroit Lions 75%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 75% win probability against the Green Bay Packers, with a projected score of Green Bay Packers 23, Detroit Lions 30. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

LARLos Angeles Rams 29

LVLas Vegas Raiders 21

FSN PICK Los Angeles Rams 77%

FSN gives the Los Angeles Rams a 77% win probability against the Las Vegas Raiders, with a projected score of Los Angeles Rams 29, Las Vegas Raiders 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Los Angeles Rams.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

KCKansas City Chiefs 22

SEASeattle Seahawks 25

FSN PICK Seattle Seahawks 61%

FSN gives the Seattle Seahawks a 61% win probability against the Kansas City Chiefs, with a projected score of Kansas City Chiefs 22, Seattle Seahawks 25. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Seattle Seahawks.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Mon, Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

DALDallas Cowboys 24

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 24

FSN PICK Philadelphia Eagles 51%

FSN gives the Philadelphia Eagles a 51% win probability against the Dallas Cowboys, with a projected score of Dallas Cowboys 24, Philadelphia Eagles 24. The largest current model driver is epa offense / defense efficiency, which leans toward Dallas Cowboys.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

New England Patriots NE 23

61% win

PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Thu, Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET

Soldier Field

Chicago Bears CHI 20

39% win

SIMULATIONS

DATA COVERAGE Excellent

SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—

Median margin—

Overtime / tie path—

Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

WHY THE MODEL LEANS

Key matchup drivers

PLAYER LAYER

Quarterbacks and injuries

GAME CONTEXT

Environment and model inputs

HOW IT WORKS

A prediction tool that shows its work

FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

How FSN weekly predictions update

Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

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