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FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 8

NFL Week 8 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 8 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots
MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 52 minutes ago
NFL PREDICTIONS Week 8 Oct 29–Nov 2
2026 NFL WEEK 8

NFL Week 8 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Thu, Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers Prediction

CARCarolina Panthers 24
GBGreen Bay Packers 26
FSN PICK Green Bay Packers 56%

FSN gives the Green Bay Packers a 56% win probability against the Carolina Panthers, with a projected score of Carolina Panthers 24, Green Bay Packers 26. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Green Bay Packers.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills Prediction

BALBaltimore Ravens 26
BUFBuffalo Bills 31
FSN PICK Buffalo Bills 70%

FSN gives the Buffalo Bills a 70% win probability against the Baltimore Ravens, with a projected score of Baltimore Ravens 26, Buffalo Bills 31. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Buffalo Bills.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

TENTennessee Titans 12
CINCincinnati Bengals 28
FSN PICK Cincinnati Bengals 92%

FSN gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 92% win probability against the Tennessee Titans, with a projected score of Tennessee Titans 12, Cincinnati Bengals 28. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Cincinnati Bengals.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys Prediction

ARIArizona Cardinals 22
DALDallas Cowboys 32
FSN PICK Dallas Cowboys 83%

FSN gives the Dallas Cowboys a 83% win probability against the Arizona Cardinals, with a projected score of Arizona Cardinals 22, Dallas Cowboys 32. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Dallas Cowboys.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Prediction

MINMinnesota Vikings 22
DETDetroit Lions 27
FSN PICK Detroit Lions 67%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 67% win probability against the Minnesota Vikings, with a projected score of Minnesota Vikings 22, Detroit Lions 27. The largest current model driver is epa offense / defense efficiency, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

INDIndianapolis Colts 16
JAXJacksonville Jaguars 29
FSN PICK Jacksonville Jaguars 88%

FSN gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 88% win probability against the Indianapolis Colts, with a projected score of Indianapolis Colts 16, Jacksonville Jaguars 29. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets Prediction

LVLas Vegas Raiders 22
NYJNew York Jets 23
FSN PICK New York Jets 53%

FSN gives the New York Jets a 53% win probability against the Las Vegas Raiders, with a projected score of Las Vegas Raiders 22, New York Jets 23. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward New York Jets.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

CLECleveland Browns 19
PITPittsburgh Steelers 24
FSN PICK Pittsburgh Steelers 68%

FSN gives the Pittsburgh Steelers a 68% win probability against the Cleveland Browns, with a projected score of Cleveland Browns 19, Pittsburgh Steelers 24. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Pittsburgh Steelers.

Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

ATLAtlanta Falcons 23
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 22
FSN PICK Atlanta Falcons 55%

FSN gives the Atlanta Falcons a 55% win probability against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a projected score of Atlanta Falcons 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Sun, Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams Prediction

LACLos Angeles Chargers 17
LARLos Angeles Rams 29
FSN PICK Los Angeles Rams 87%

FSN gives the Los Angeles Rams a 87% win probability against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected score of Los Angeles Chargers 17, Los Angeles Rams 29. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Los Angeles Rams.

Sun, Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Prediction

KCKansas City Chiefs 24
DENDenver Broncos 21
FSN PICK Kansas City Chiefs 63%

FSN gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 63% win probability against the Denver Broncos, with a projected score of Kansas City Chiefs 24, Denver Broncos 21. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward Kansas City Chiefs.

Sun, Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Prediction

NENew England Patriots 28
MIAMiami Dolphins 13
FSN PICK New England Patriots 91%

FSN gives the New England Patriots a 91% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of New England Patriots 28, Miami Dolphins 13. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Sun, Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders Prediction

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 24
WASWashington Commanders 23
FSN PICK Philadelphia Eagles 55%

FSN gives the Philadelphia Eagles a 55% win probability against the Washington Commanders, with a projected score of Philadelphia Eagles 24, Washington Commanders 23. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Philadelphia Eagles.

Mon, Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

CHIChicago Bears 19
SEASeattle Seahawks 27
FSN PICK Seattle Seahawks 77%

FSN gives the Seattle Seahawks a 77% win probability against the Chicago Bears, with a projected score of Chicago Bears 19, Seattle Seahawks 27. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Seattle Seahawks.

Carolina Panthers CAR 24
44% win
PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Thu, Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET
VS
Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers GB 26
56% win
SIMULATIONS
DATA COVERAGE Excellent
SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—
Median margin—
Overtime / tie path—
Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

    WHY THE MODEL LEANS

    Key matchup drivers

    PLAYER LAYER

    Quarterbacks and injuries

    GAME CONTEXT

    Environment and model inputs

    HOW IT WORKS

    A prediction tool that shows its work

    FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

    The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

    NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

    How FSN weekly predictions update

    Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

    Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

    Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

    No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

    Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

    No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

    Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

    Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

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    NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com