FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 14

NFL Week 14 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 14 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots

MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 27 minutes ago

NFL PREDICTIONS Week 14 Dec 10–Dec 14

2026 NFL WEEK 14

NFL Week 14 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Thu, Dec 10 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots Prediction

MINMinnesota Vikings 16

NENew England Patriots 22

FSN PICK New England Patriots 71%

FSN gives the New England Patriots a 71% win probability against the Minnesota Vikings, with a projected score of Minnesota Vikings 16, New England Patriots 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens Prediction

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 18

BALBaltimore Ravens 30

FSN PICK Baltimore Ravens 86%

FSN gives the Baltimore Ravens a 86% win probability against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a projected score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18, Baltimore Ravens 30. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Baltimore Ravens.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers Prediction

NONew Orleans Saints 24

CARCarolina Panthers 32

FSN PICK Carolina Panthers 79%

FSN gives the Carolina Panthers a 79% win probability against the New Orleans Saints, with a projected score of New Orleans Saints 24, Carolina Panthers 32. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Carolina Panthers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns Prediction

ATLAtlanta Falcons 23

CLECleveland Browns 22

FSN PICK Atlanta Falcons 55%

FSN gives the Atlanta Falcons a 55% win probability against the Cleveland Browns, with a projected score of Atlanta Falcons 23, Cleveland Browns 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Atlanta Falcons.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions Prediction

TENTennessee Titans 14

DETDetroit Lions 34

FSN PICK Detroit Lions 96%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 96% win probability against the Tennessee Titans, with a projected score of Tennessee Titans 14, Detroit Lions 34. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins Prediction

CHIChicago Bears 25

MIAMiami Dolphins 17

FSN PICK Chicago Bears 79%

FSN gives the Chicago Bears a 79% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of Chicago Bears 25, Miami Dolphins 17. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Chicago Bears.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Denver Broncos at New York Jets Prediction

DENDenver Broncos 22

NYJNew York Jets 18

FSN PICK Denver Broncos 64%

FSN gives the Denver Broncos a 64% win probability against the New York Jets, with a projected score of Denver Broncos 22, New York Jets 18. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Denver Broncos.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

INDIndianapolis Colts 24

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 23

FSN PICK Indianapolis Colts 53%

FSN gives the Indianapolis Colts a 53% win probability against the Philadelphia Eagles, with a projected score of Indianapolis Colts 24, Philadelphia Eagles 23. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Philadelphia Eagles.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Houston Texans at Washington Commanders Prediction

HOUHouston Texans 29

WASWashington Commanders 20

FSN PICK Houston Texans 79%

FSN gives the Houston Texans a 79% win probability against the Washington Commanders, with a projected score of Houston Texans 29, Washington Commanders 20. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Houston Texans.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

LACLos Angeles Chargers 21

LVLas Vegas Raiders 26

FSN PICK Las Vegas Raiders 67%

FSN gives the Las Vegas Raiders a 67% win probability against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected score of Los Angeles Chargers 21, Las Vegas Raiders 26. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward Las Vegas Raiders.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

KCKansas City Chiefs 26

CINCincinnati Bengals 23

FSN PICK Kansas City Chiefs 62%

FSN gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 62% win probability against the Cincinnati Bengals, with a projected score of Kansas City Chiefs 26, Cincinnati Bengals 23. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Kansas City Chiefs.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

NYGNew York Giants 17

SEASeattle Seahawks 29

FSN PICK Seattle Seahawks 87%

FSN gives the Seattle Seahawks a 87% win probability against the New York Giants, with a projected score of New York Giants 17, Seattle Seahawks 29. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Seattle Seahawks.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers Prediction

LARLos Angeles Rams 21

SFSan Francisco 49ers 27

FSN PICK San Francisco 49ers 72%

FSN gives the San Francisco 49ers a 72% win probability against the Los Angeles Rams, with a projected score of Los Angeles Rams 21, San Francisco 49ers 27. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward San Francisco 49ers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 13 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers Prediction

BUFBuffalo Bills 29

GBGreen Bay Packers 23

FSN PICK Buffalo Bills 73%

FSN gives the Buffalo Bills a 73% win probability against the Green Bay Packers, with a projected score of Buffalo Bills 29, Green Bay Packers 23. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Buffalo Bills.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Mon, Dec 14 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

PITPittsburgh Steelers 15

JAXJacksonville Jaguars 26

FSN PICK Jacksonville Jaguars 85%

FSN gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 85% win probability against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with a projected score of Pittsburgh Steelers 15, Jacksonville Jaguars 26. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Indianapolis Colts IND 24

53% win

PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Lincoln Financial Field

Philadelphia Eagles PHI 23

47% win

SIMULATIONS

DATA COVERAGE Excellent

SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—

Median margin—

Overtime / tie path—

Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

WHY THE MODEL LEANS

Key matchup drivers

PLAYER LAYER

Quarterbacks and injuries

GAME CONTEXT

Environment and model inputs

HOW IT WORKS

A prediction tool that shows its work

FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

How FSN weekly predictions update

Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

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