FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 13

NFL Week 13 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 13 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots

MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 29 minutes ago

NFL PREDICTIONS Week 13 Dec 3–Dec 7

2026 NFL WEEK 13

NFL Week 13 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Thu, Dec 3 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams Prediction

KCKansas City Chiefs 24

LARLos Angeles Rams 25

FSN PICK Los Angeles Rams 53%

FSN gives the Los Angeles Rams a 53% win probability against the Kansas City Chiefs, with a projected score of Kansas City Chiefs 24, Los Angeles Rams 25. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Los Angeles Rams.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons Prediction

DETDetroit Lions 31

ATLAtlanta Falcons 24

FSN PICK Detroit Lions 73%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 73% win probability against the Atlanta Falcons, with a projected score of Detroit Lions 31, Atlanta Falcons 24. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears Prediction

JAXJacksonville Jaguars 24

CHIChicago Bears 17

FSN PICK Jacksonville Jaguars 76%

FSN gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 76% win probability against the Chicago Bears, with a projected score of Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Chicago Bears 17. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns Prediction

CINCincinnati Bengals 24

CLECleveland Browns 20

FSN PICK Cincinnati Bengals 64%

FSN gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 64% win probability against the Cleveland Browns, with a projected score of Cincinnati Bengals 24, Cleveland Browns 20. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Cincinnati Bengals.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints Prediction

GBGreen Bay Packers 27

NONew Orleans Saints 21

FSN PICK Green Bay Packers 73%

FSN gives the Green Bay Packers a 73% win probability against the New Orleans Saints, with a projected score of Green Bay Packers 27, New Orleans Saints 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Green Bay Packers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants Prediction

SFSan Francisco 49ers 29

NYGNew York Giants 17

FSN PICK San Francisco 49ers 87%

FSN gives the San Francisco 49ers a 87% win probability against the New York Giants, with a projected score of San Francisco 49ers 29, New York Giants 17. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward San Francisco 49ers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

LACLos Angeles Chargers 19

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 24

FSN PICK Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68%

FSN gives the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 68% win probability against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected score of Los Angeles Chargers 19, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Washington Commanders at Tennessee Titans Prediction

WASWashington Commanders 24

TENTennessee Titans 19

FSN PICK Washington Commanders 68%

FSN gives the Washington Commanders a 68% win probability against the Tennessee Titans, with a projected score of Washington Commanders 24, Tennessee Titans 19. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Washington Commanders.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals Prediction

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 27

ARIArizona Cardinals 21

FSN PICK Philadelphia Eagles 71%

FSN gives the Philadelphia Eagles a 71% win probability against the Arizona Cardinals, with a projected score of Philadelphia Eagles 27, Arizona Cardinals 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Philadelphia Eagles.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos Prediction

MIAMiami Dolphins 14

DENDenver Broncos 27

FSN PICK Denver Broncos 88%

FSN gives the Denver Broncos a 88% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of Miami Dolphins 14, Denver Broncos 27. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Denver Broncos.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings Prediction

CARCarolina Panthers 21

MINMinnesota Vikings 25

FSN PICK Minnesota Vikings 63%

FSN gives the Minnesota Vikings a 63% win probability against the Carolina Panthers, with a projected score of Carolina Panthers 21, Minnesota Vikings 25. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Minnesota Vikings.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Prediction

BUFBuffalo Bills 26

NENew England Patriots 25

FSN PICK Buffalo Bills 52%

FSN gives the Buffalo Bills a 52% win probability against the New England Patriots, with a projected score of Buffalo Bills 26, New England Patriots 25. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Dec 6 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

HOUHouston Texans 23

PITPittsburgh Steelers 21

FSN PICK Houston Texans 59%

FSN gives the Houston Texans a 59% win probability against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with a projected score of Houston Texans 23, Pittsburgh Steelers 21. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Houston Texans.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Mon, Dec 7 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

DALDallas Cowboys 21

SEASeattle Seahawks 30

FSN PICK Seattle Seahawks 81%

FSN gives the Seattle Seahawks a 81% win probability against the Dallas Cowboys, with a projected score of Dallas Cowboys 21, Seattle Seahawks 30. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Seattle Seahawks.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Kansas City Chiefs KC 24

47% win

PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Thu, Dec 3 · 8:15 PM ET

SoFi Stadium

Los Angeles Rams LAR 25

53% win

SIMULATIONS

DATA COVERAGE Strong

SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—

Median margin—

Overtime / tie path—

Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

WHY THE MODEL LEANS

Key matchup drivers

PLAYER LAYER

Quarterbacks and injuries

GAME CONTEXT

Environment and model inputs

HOW IT WORKS

A prediction tool that shows its work

FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

How FSN weekly predictions update

Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

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