FSN SMART SIM · 2026 WEEK 12

NFL Week 12 Predictions

Every 2026 NFL Week 12 matchup, projected with FSN’s Smart Game Simulator. Compare predicted winners, win probabilities and projected scores, then open any upcoming matchup to run 1,000, 10,000 or 50,000 simulations.

10,000 sims defaultReal player dataTransparent factorsPregame snapshots

MODEL FSN-SIM-1.0

Live forecasts update until kickoff; completed games keep their last pregame snapshot.

Data updated 27 minutes ago

NFL PREDICTIONS Week 12 Nov 25–Nov 30

2026 NFL WEEK 12

NFL Week 12 Predictions: Every Game

These are server-rendered FSN model forecasts, not sportsbook picks. Upcoming games continue to update as new results, player data and injury information become available. Once a game starts, its last pregame forecast is frozen for transparent historical tracking.

Wed, Nov 25 · 8:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams Prediction

GBGreen Bay Packers 20

LARLos Angeles Rams 26

FSN PICK Los Angeles Rams 71%

FSN gives the Los Angeles Rams a 71% win probability against the Green Bay Packers, with a projected score of Green Bay Packers 20, Los Angeles Rams 26. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Los Angeles Rams.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Thu, Nov 26 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Prediction

CHIChicago Bears 23

DETDetroit Lions 30

FSN PICK Detroit Lions 76%

FSN gives the Detroit Lions a 76% win probability against the Chicago Bears, with a projected score of Chicago Bears 23, Detroit Lions 30. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward Detroit Lions.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Thu, Nov 26 · 4:30 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Prediction

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles 22

DALDallas Cowboys 25

FSN PICK Dallas Cowboys 61%

FSN gives the Dallas Cowboys a 61% win probability against the Philadelphia Eagles, with a projected score of Philadelphia Eagles 22, Dallas Cowboys 25. The largest current model driver is epa offense / defense efficiency, which leans toward Dallas Cowboys.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Thu, Nov 26 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Prediction

KCKansas City Chiefs 25

BUFBuffalo Bills 29

FSN PICK Buffalo Bills 65%

FSN gives the Buffalo Bills a 65% win probability against the Kansas City Chiefs, with a projected score of Kansas City Chiefs 25, Buffalo Bills 29. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Buffalo Bills.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

DENDenver Broncos 21

PITPittsburgh Steelers 22

FSN PICK Pittsburgh Steelers 53%

FSN gives the Pittsburgh Steelers a 53% win probability against the Denver Broncos, with a projected score of Denver Broncos 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 22. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Denver Broncos.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

NONew Orleans Saints 20

CINCincinnati Bengals 30

FSN PICK Cincinnati Bengals 82%

FSN gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 82% win probability against the New Orleans Saints, with a projected score of New Orleans Saints 20, Cincinnati Bengals 30. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Cincinnati Bengals.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns Prediction

LVLas Vegas Raiders 21

CLECleveland Browns 25

FSN PICK Cleveland Browns 64%

FSN gives the Cleveland Browns a 64% win probability against the Las Vegas Raiders, with a projected score of Las Vegas Raiders 21, Cleveland Browns 25. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Cleveland Browns.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans Prediction

BALBaltimore Ravens 24

HOUHouston Texans 25

FSN PICK Houston Texans 51%

FSN gives the Houston Texans a 51% win probability against the Baltimore Ravens, with a projected score of Baltimore Ravens 24, Houston Texans 25. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Houston Texans.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

NYGNew York Giants 21

INDIndianapolis Colts 26

FSN PICK Indianapolis Colts 68%

FSN gives the Indianapolis Colts a 68% win probability against the New York Giants, with a projected score of New York Giants 21, Indianapolis Colts 26. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Indianapolis Colts.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Prediction

NYJNew York Jets 21

MIAMiami Dolphins 18

FSN PICK New York Jets 60%

FSN gives the New York Jets a 60% win probability against the Miami Dolphins, with a projected score of New York Jets 21, Miami Dolphins 18. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward New York Jets.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings Prediction

ATLAtlanta Falcons 19

MINMinnesota Vikings 23

FSN PICK Minnesota Vikings 65%

FSN gives the Minnesota Vikings a 65% win probability against the Atlanta Falcons, with a projected score of Atlanta Falcons 19, Minnesota Vikings 23. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Minnesota Vikings.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 4:05 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

TENTennessee Titans 7

JAXJacksonville Jaguars 29

FSN PICK Jacksonville Jaguars 96%

FSN gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 96% win probability against the Tennessee Titans, with a projected score of Tennessee Titans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 29. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals Prediction

WASWashington Commanders 27

ARIArizona Cardinals 26

FSN PICK Washington Commanders 55%

FSN gives the Washington Commanders a 55% win probability against the Arizona Cardinals, with a projected score of Washington Commanders 27, Arizona Cardinals 26. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Arizona Cardinals.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 4:25 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers Prediction

SEASeattle Seahawks 22

SFSan Francisco 49ers 26

FSN PICK San Francisco 49ers 64%

FSN gives the San Francisco 49ers a 64% win probability against the Seattle Seahawks, with a projected score of Seattle Seahawks 22, San Francisco 49ers 26. The largest current model driver is quarterback form / availability, which leans toward San Francisco 49ers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Sun, Nov 29 · 8:20 PM ET LIVE MODEL

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

NENew England Patriots 27

LACLos Angeles Chargers 14

FSN PICK New England Patriots 88%

FSN gives the New England Patriots a 88% win probability against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a projected score of New England Patriots 27, Los Angeles Chargers 14. The largest current model driver is opponent-adjusted team strength, which leans toward New England Patriots.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Mon, Nov 30 · 8:15 PM ET LIVE MODEL

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

CARCarolina Panthers 26

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers 24

FSN PICK Carolina Panthers 60%

FSN gives the Carolina Panthers a 60% win probability against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a projected score of Carolina Panthers 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24. The largest current model driver is venue / home field, which leans toward Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Run this matchup → Game Center →

Denver Broncos DEN 21

47% win

PROJECTED 10,000 simulations Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET

Acrisure Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 22

53% win

SIMULATIONS

DATA COVERAGE Excellent

SIM RESULTS

What the simulations produced

Average score—

Median margin—

Overtime / tie path—

Simulation spread—

Most common final scores

WHY THE MODEL LEANS

Key matchup drivers

PLAYER LAYER

Quarterbacks and injuries

GAME CONTEXT

Environment and model inputs

HOW IT WORKS

A prediction tool that shows its work

FSN begins with its opponent-adjusted team rating, then layers in smaller matchup adjustments from recent results, weekly EPA/CPOE efficiency, quarterback efficiency, current injury reports, pass rush and interceptions, kicking, rest, venue and travel. Market spread/total data is used only as a capped reality check when it exists. The resulting expected margin and total become the center of a score distribution that the browser samples thousands of times.

The simulator is probabilistic, not a claim that a game will finish at one exact score. A 64% favorite still loses roughly one out of three comparable simulations. Football remains delightfully rude to certainty.

NFL SIMULATOR FAQ

How FSN weekly predictions update

Do NFL Week predictions recalculate after games are played?

Yes. Future matchups are rebuilt from the latest available team ratings, current-season results, weekly player and team efficiency data, injuries and matchup context. A Week 2 forecast can use Week 1 data; a Week 5 forecast can use Weeks 1–4.

Does FSN change an old prediction after kickoff?

No. Once kickoff passes, FSN uses the final stored pregame Smart Simulator snapshot for the historical weekly page. That prevents future information from leaking backward into old predictions.

Is the projected score supposed to be exact?

No. The projected score is the center of a probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation samples thousands of plausible scoring outcomes around that expectation to estimate win probability and score ranges.

Does FSN use betting lines to make the prediction?

Market spread and total data can be used as a deliberately capped sanity check when available, but they are not the primary model. FSN’s team, player, injury and matchup inputs drive the forecast.

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