#1
100LEVERAGE
AWAYBuffalo Bills
HOMEHouston Texans
Biggest downstream swings
NEDivision odds10.4 ptsRoot for HOU
JAXDivision odds7.8 ptsRoot for BUF
INDDivision odds2.8 ptsRoot for BUF
MINPlayoff odds2.7 ptsRoot for HOU
2026 NFL WEEK 1GAME
GAME
LEVERAGE INDEX
Which games matter beyond the scoreboard? FSN measures how much each result can move playoff, division and No. 1-seed paths across the league.
100WEEK'S MAXRelative scale
#2
97LEVERAGE
AWAYNew England Patriots
HOMESeattle Seahawks
Biggest downstream swings
BUFDivision odds9.5 ptsRoot for SEA
LARDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for NE
DALPlayoff odds3.2 ptsRoot for NE
CHIPlayoff odds3.0 ptsRoot for NE
#3
92LEVERAGE
AWAYCleveland Browns
HOMEJacksonville Jaguars
Biggest downstream swings
HOUDivision odds8.5 ptsRoot for CLE
INDDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for CLE
PHIPlayoff odds3.4 ptsRoot for JAX
CHIDivision odds3.4 ptsRoot for CLE
#4
89LEVERAGE
AWAYTampa Bay Buccaneers
HOMECincinnati Bengals
Biggest downstream swings
NODivision odds5.6 ptsRoot for CIN
BALDivision odds5.4 ptsRoot for TB
ATLDivision odds3.9 ptsRoot for CIN
LACPlayoff odds3.0 ptsRoot for TB
#5
88LEVERAGE
AWAYBaltimore Ravens
HOMEIndianapolis Colts
Biggest downstream swings
JAXDivision odds5.0 ptsRoot for BAL
PITDivision odds4.8 ptsRoot for IND
HOUDivision odds4.7 ptsRoot for BAL
CINDivision odds4.4 ptsRoot for IND
#6
87LEVERAGE
AWAYNew Orleans Saints
HOMEDetroit Lions
Biggest downstream swings
CHIDivision odds5.1 ptsRoot for NO
TBDivision odds4.4 ptsRoot for DET
MINDivision odds4.0 ptsRoot for NO
GBDivision odds3.4 ptsRoot for NO
#7
86LEVERAGE
AWAYAtlanta Falcons
HOMEPittsburgh Steelers
Biggest downstream swings
BALDivision odds5.6 ptsRoot for ATL
NODivision odds3.8 ptsRoot for PIT
CARDivision odds3.2 ptsRoot for PIT
TBDivision odds3.0 ptsRoot for PIT
#8
84LEVERAGE
AWAYArizona Cardinals
HOMELos Angeles Chargers
Biggest downstream swings
KCPlayoff odds4.6 ptsRoot for ARI
DENDivision odds4.2 ptsRoot for ARI
SEAPlayoff odds3.6 ptsRoot for LAC
BALDivision odds2.4 ptsRoot for LAC
#9
82LEVERAGE
AWAYChicago Bears
HOMECarolina Panthers
Biggest downstream swings
TBDivision odds4.2 ptsRoot for CHI
MINDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for CAR
CINPlayoff odds3.2 ptsRoot for CAR
DETDivision odds3.1 ptsRoot for CAR
#10
77LEVERAGE
AWAYDallas Cowboys
HOMENew York Giants
Biggest downstream swings
INDPlayoff odds2.9 ptsRoot for NYG
PHIDivision odds2.9 ptsRoot for NYG
NEDivision odds2.7 ptsRoot for NYG
BUFDivision odds2.7 ptsRoot for DAL
#11
75LEVERAGE
AWAYSan Francisco 49ers
HOMELos Angeles Rams
Biggest downstream swings
NOPlayoff odds2.7 ptsRoot for LAR
INDPlayoff odds2.6 ptsRoot for LAR
SEADivision odds2.4 ptsRoot for SF
PITPlayoff odds2.2 ptsRoot for SF
#12
75LEVERAGE
AWAYGreen Bay Packers
HOMEMinnesota Vikings
Biggest downstream swings
HOUDivision odds2.8 ptsRoot for GB
PHIPlayoff odds2.6 ptsRoot for GB
JAXDivision odds2.2 ptsRoot for MIN
CHIDivision odds2.1 ptsRoot for MIN
#13
75LEVERAGE
AWAYDenver Broncos
HOMEKansas City Chiefs
Biggest downstream swings
INDPlayoff odds2.9 ptsRoot for KC
GBDivision odds2.5 ptsRoot for DEN
DETPlayoff odds2.4 ptsRoot for KC
SFNo. 1 seed odds2.4 ptsRoot for DEN
#14
73LEVERAGE
AWAYNew York Jets
HOMETennessee Titans
Biggest downstream swings
HOUDivision odds2.6 ptsRoot for NYJ
INDPlayoff odds2.4 ptsRoot for TEN
NYGPlayoff odds1.9 ptsRoot for TEN
ATLDivision odds1.8 ptsRoot for TEN
#15
73LEVERAGE
AWAYMiami Dolphins
HOMELas Vegas Raiders
Biggest downstream swings
KCDivision odds2.4 ptsRoot for MIA
LARNo. 1 seed odds2.4 ptsRoot for LV
GBPlayoff odds2.2 ptsRoot for LV
BUFDivision odds2.0 ptsRoot for LV
#16
73LEVERAGE
AWAYWashington Commanders
HOMEPhiladelphia Eagles
Biggest downstream swings
CARPlayoff odds2.4 ptsRoot for WAS
SEANo. 1 seed odds2.3 ptsRoot for WAS
CHIPlayoff odds2.2 ptsRoot for PHI
PITPlayoff odds2.0 ptsRoot for PHI
Relative to this week — not a betting grade.
FSN Leverage Score is relative within the selected week. It blends the largest modeled playoff/division/No. 1-seed swings with how many clubs are materially affected; it is not a betting rating. The underlying probability swings come from the same saved season trials used by the Playoff Predictor and Rooting Guide.