#1
100LEVERAGE
AWAYLos Angeles Chargers
HOMEBuffalo Bills
Biggest downstream swings
NEDivision odds9.7 ptsRoot for LAC
KCNo. 1 seed odds5.5 ptsRoot for LAC
JAXNo. 1 seed odds5.2 ptsRoot for BUF
HOUPlayoff odds4.3 ptsRoot for LAC
2026 NFL WEEK 3GAME
GAME
LEVERAGE INDEX
Which games matter beyond the scoreboard? FSN measures how much each result can move playoff, division and No. 1-seed paths across the league.
100WEEK'S MAXRelative scale
#2
100LEVERAGE
AWAYBaltimore Ravens
HOMEDallas Cowboys
Biggest downstream swings
CINDivision odds10.9 ptsRoot for DAL
PHIDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for BAL
LVPlayoff odds3.3 ptsRoot for DAL
CLEDivision odds2.5 ptsRoot for DAL
#3
95LEVERAGE
AWAYCarolina Panthers
HOMECleveland Browns
Biggest downstream swings
NODivision odds8.8 ptsRoot for CLE
MINDivision odds4.6 ptsRoot for CLE
TBDivision odds4.2 ptsRoot for CLE
CINDivision odds2.6 ptsRoot for CAR
#4
94LEVERAGE
AWAYNew England Patriots
HOMEJacksonville Jaguars
Biggest downstream swings
BUFDivision odds7.7 ptsRoot for JAX
HOUDivision odds5.4 ptsRoot for NE
INDDivision odds4.6 ptsRoot for NE
CARPlayoff odds4.1 ptsRoot for NE
#5
94LEVERAGE
AWAYSeattle Seahawks
HOMEWashington Commanders
Biggest downstream swings
SFDivision odds10.3 ptsRoot for WAS
BALPlayoff odds3.1 ptsRoot for WAS
CARPlayoff odds2.8 ptsRoot for SEA
CINDivision odds2.6 ptsRoot for SEA
#6
93LEVERAGE
AWAYArizona Cardinals
HOMESan Francisco 49ers
Biggest downstream swings
SEADivision odds9.9 ptsRoot for ARI
LARDivision odds3.4 ptsRoot for ARI
TBPlayoff odds2.7 ptsRoot for SF
DETNo. 1 seed odds2.3 ptsRoot for ARI
#7
92LEVERAGE
AWAYCincinnati Bengals
HOMEPittsburgh Steelers
Biggest downstream swings
BALDivision odds8.7 ptsRoot for PIT
BUFNo. 1 seed odds3.3 ptsRoot for PIT
LARPlayoff odds3.0 ptsRoot for PIT
CLEDivision odds2.9 ptsRoot for PIT
#8
91LEVERAGE
AWAYMinnesota Vikings
HOMETampa Bay Buccaneers
Biggest downstream swings
DETDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for TB
CARDivision odds6.0 ptsRoot for MIN
CHIDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for TB
LARPlayoff odds2.6 ptsRoot for MIN
#9
91LEVERAGE
AWAYLas Vegas Raiders
HOMENew Orleans Saints
Biggest downstream swings
CARDivision odds8.4 ptsRoot for LV
KCDivision odds3.6 ptsRoot for NO
CINPlayoff odds3.3 ptsRoot for NO
TBDivision odds2.7 ptsRoot for LV
#10
89LEVERAGE
AWAYKansas City Chiefs
HOMEMiami Dolphins
Biggest downstream swings
DENDivision odds6.2 ptsRoot for MIA
BUFNo. 1 seed odds5.1 ptsRoot for MIA
LVDivision odds3.3 ptsRoot for MIA
DETDivision odds3.0 ptsRoot for KC
#11
88LEVERAGE
AWAYPhiladelphia Eagles
HOMEChicago Bears
Biggest downstream swings
DALDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for CHI
LARPlayoff odds4.2 ptsRoot for PHI
NYGDivision odds3.3 ptsRoot for CHI
MINDivision odds2.8 ptsRoot for PHI
#12
87LEVERAGE
AWAYNew York Jets
HOMEDetroit Lions
Biggest downstream swings
MINDivision odds6.4 ptsRoot for NYJ
BUFNo. 1 seed odds3.3 ptsRoot for NYJ
CHIDivision odds3.1 ptsRoot for NYJ
CINDivision odds2.9 ptsRoot for NYJ
#13
87LEVERAGE
AWAYTennessee Titans
HOMENew York Giants
Biggest downstream swings
PHIDivision odds6.9 ptsRoot for TEN
BUFNo. 1 seed odds2.9 ptsRoot for NYG
LVPlayoff odds2.9 ptsRoot for TEN
MINDivision odds2.7 ptsRoot for TEN
#14
87LEVERAGE
AWAYLos Angeles Rams
HOMEDenver Broncos
Biggest downstream swings
KCDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for LAR
CHIPlayoff odds3.3 ptsRoot for DEN
INDPlayoff odds3.2 ptsRoot for LAR
SEADivision odds3.1 ptsRoot for DEN
#15
78LEVERAGE
AWAYHouston Texans
HOMEIndianapolis Colts
Biggest downstream swings
JAXDivision odds4.4 ptsRoot for IND
NEPlayoff odds2.0 ptsRoot for IND
SFDivision odds2.0 ptsRoot for HOU
LARPlayoff odds1.9 ptsRoot for IND
#16
77LEVERAGE
AWAYAtlanta Falcons
HOMEGreen Bay Packers
Biggest downstream swings
CARPlayoff odds3.4 ptsRoot for ATL
DENPlayoff odds2.6 ptsRoot for ATL
INDPlayoff odds2.5 ptsRoot for ATL
NODivision odds2.4 ptsRoot for GB
Relative to this week — not a betting grade.
FSN Leverage Score is relative within the selected week. It blends the largest modeled playoff/division/No. 1-seed swings with how many clubs are materially affected; it is not a betting rating. The underlying probability swings come from the same saved season trials used by the Playoff Predictor and Rooting Guide.