#1
100LEVERAGE
AWAYSan Francisco 49ers
HOMESeattle Seahawks
Biggest downstream swings
SFDivision odds27.8 ptsOwn result
SEADivision odds25.8 ptsOwn result
CHINo. 1 seed odds3.3 ptsRoot for SEA
MINPlayoff odds3.0 ptsRoot for SF
2026 NFL WEEK 5GAME
GAME
LEVERAGE INDEX
Which games matter beyond the scoreboard? FSN measures how much each result can move playoff, division and No. 1-seed paths across the league.
100WEEK'S MAXRelative scale
#2
98LEVERAGE
AWAYLas Vegas Raiders
HOMENew England Patriots
Biggest downstream swings
LVPlayoff odds24.4 ptsOwn result
NEPlayoff odds23.1 ptsOwn result
BUFDivision odds10.4 ptsRoot for LV
KCDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for NE
#3
90LEVERAGE
AWAYIndianapolis Colts
HOMEPittsburgh Steelers
Biggest downstream swings
INDPlayoff odds23.3 ptsOwn result
PITPlayoff odds16.6 ptsOwn result
JAXDivision odds5.0 ptsRoot for PIT
CINDivision odds2.7 ptsRoot for IND
#4
84LEVERAGE
AWAYPhiladelphia Eagles
HOMEJacksonville Jaguars
Biggest downstream swings
JAXNo. 1 seed odds14.8 ptsOwn result
PHIPlayoff odds14.3 ptsOwn result
DALDivision odds9.5 ptsRoot for JAX
KCNo. 1 seed odds7.9 ptsRoot for PHI
#5
83LEVERAGE
AWAYChicago Bears
HOMEGreen Bay Packers
Biggest downstream swings
CHIDivision odds16.8 ptsOwn result
MINDivision odds11.3 ptsRoot for GB
GBPlayoff odds9.0 ptsOwn result
DETDivision odds3.8 ptsRoot for GB
#6
83LEVERAGE
AWAYBuffalo Bills
HOMELos Angeles Rams
Biggest downstream swings
LARPlayoff odds15.1 ptsOwn result
BUFNo. 1 seed odds13.0 ptsOwn result
NEDivision odds10.6 ptsRoot for LAR
KCNo. 1 seed odds5.2 ptsRoot for LAR
#7
81LEVERAGE
AWAYDetroit Lions
HOMEArizona Cardinals
Biggest downstream swings
DETPlayoff odds19.7 ptsOwn result
LARPlayoff odds6.0 ptsRoot for ARI
MINDivision odds5.9 ptsRoot for ARI
CHIDivision odds4.8 ptsRoot for ARI
#8
80LEVERAGE
AWAYMinnesota Vikings
HOMENew Orleans Saints
Biggest downstream swings
MINPlayoff odds16.3 ptsOwn result
NOPlayoff odds7.9 ptsOwn result
CHIDivision odds7.8 ptsRoot for NO
DETDivision odds6.5 ptsRoot for NO
#9
80LEVERAGE
AWAYDenver Broncos
HOMELos Angeles Chargers
Biggest downstream swings
DENPlayoff odds20.6 ptsOwn result
INDPlayoff odds5.2 ptsRoot for LAC
KCDivision odds3.9 ptsRoot for LAC
LVPlayoff odds3.4 ptsRoot for LAC
#10
80LEVERAGE
AWAYBaltimore Ravens
HOMEAtlanta Falcons
Biggest downstream swings
ATLPlayoff odds15.3 ptsOwn result
CARDivision odds9.8 ptsRoot for BAL
BALDivision odds9.0 ptsOwn result
CINDivision odds3.3 ptsRoot for ATL
#11
79LEVERAGE
AWAYNew York Giants
HOMEWashington Commanders
Biggest downstream swings
NYGPlayoff odds17.1 ptsOwn result
DALDivision odds8.4 ptsRoot for WAS
BALDivision odds4.8 ptsRoot for WAS
WASPlayoff odds4.6 ptsOwn result
#12
77LEVERAGE
AWAYCincinnati Bengals
HOMEMiami Dolphins
Biggest downstream swings
CINPlayoff odds18.6 ptsOwn result
DENPlayoff odds4.6 ptsRoot for MIA
PITPlayoff odds3.6 ptsRoot for MIA
CLEPlayoff odds3.5 ptsRoot for MIA
#13
77LEVERAGE
AWAYCleveland Browns
HOMENew York Jets
Biggest downstream swings
CLEPlayoff odds16.7 ptsOwn result
NYJPlayoff odds7.5 ptsOwn result
BALDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for NYJ
CINDivision odds2.9 ptsRoot for NYJ
#14
75LEVERAGE
AWAYTampa Bay Buccaneers
HOMEDallas Cowboys
Biggest downstream swings
DALPlayoff odds15.2 ptsOwn result
NYGDivision odds6.3 ptsRoot for TB
PHIDivision odds5.0 ptsRoot for TB
CARDivision odds4.2 ptsRoot for DAL
#15
68LEVERAGE
AWAYHouston Texans
HOMETennessee Titans
Biggest downstream swings
HOUPlayoff odds10.7 ptsOwn result
CLEPlayoff odds6.2 ptsRoot for TEN
CINPlayoff odds4.2 ptsRoot for TEN
BALPlayoff odds2.5 ptsRoot for TEN
Relative to this week — not a betting grade.
FSN Leverage Score is relative within the selected week. It blends the largest modeled playoff/division/No. 1-seed swings with how many clubs are materially affected; it is not a betting rating. The underlying probability swings come from the same saved season trials used by the Playoff Predictor and Rooting Guide.