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SEA
DEN
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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

5-0San Francisco 49ers99.8% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGESan Francisco 49ersDivision tiebreak
3-2Seattle Seahawks80.1% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
SF1-0 (1.000)
SEA0-1 (0.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
SF3-0 (1.000)
SEA1-1 (0.500)
EDGE
3Common games
SF1-0 (1.000)
SEA1-0 (1.000)
TIED
4Conference record
SF3-0 (1.000)
SEA1-2 (0.333)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
SF36.0%
SEA26.7%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
SF36.0%
SEA42.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
SF#4
SEA#8
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
SF#7
SEA#14
EDGE
9Net points in common games
SF+6
SEA+24
EDGE
10Net points in all games
SF+61
SEA+29
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com