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THU 8:15 PM ET
SEA
DEN
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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

1-4Houston Texans24.7% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEIndianapolis ColtsDivision tiebreak
2-3Indianapolis Colts17.3% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
HOU0-1 (0.000)
IND1-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
HOU1-1 (0.500)
IND1-0 (1.000)
EDGE
3Common games
HOUNo games yet
INDNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
4Conference record
HOU1-3 (0.250)
IND1-3 (0.250)
TIED
5Strength of victory
HOU0.0%
IND25.0%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
HOU44.0%
IND56.3%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
HOU#18
IND#20
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
HOU#34
IND#36
EDGE
9Net points in common games
HOU0
IND0
NOT ACTIVE YET
10Net points in all games
HOU-2
IND-14
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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