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SEA
DEN
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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

4-1Buffalo Bills97.4% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGENew England PatriotsDivision tiebreak
3-2New England Patriots88.8% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
BUF0-1 (0.000)
NE1-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
BUF0-1 (0.000)
NE1-0 (1.000)
EDGE
3Common games
BUFNo games yet
NENo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
4Conference record
BUF2-1 (0.667)
NE3-1 (0.750)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
BUF30.0%
NE66.7%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
BUF36.0%
NE68.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
BUF#17
NE#12
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
BUF#29
NE#24
EDGE
9Net points in common games
BUF0
NE0
NOT ACTIVE YET
10Net points in all games
BUF+23
NE+16
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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