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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

4-0Kansas City Chiefs96.2% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEKansas City ChiefsWild-card / cross-division tiebreak
3-2New England Patriots89.1% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Wild-card / cross-division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?Future conference games can move this criterion in either direction.
1Head-to-head
KCNo games yet
NENo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
2Conference record
KC4-0 (1.000)
NE3-1 (0.750)
DECISIVE
3Common games (minimum four)
KC1-0 (1.000)
NE1-0 (1.000)
NOT ACTIVE YET
4Strength of victory
KC40.0%
NE66.7%
EDGE
5Strength of schedule
KC40.0%
NE68.0%
EDGE
6Combined conference points rank
KC#9
NE#12
EDGE
7Combined league points rank
KC#18
NE#24
EDGE
8Net points in conference games
KC+41
NE+19
EDGE
9Net points in all games
KC+41
NE+16
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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