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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

4-0Kansas City Chiefs96.2% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEKansas City ChiefsDivision tiebreak
3-2Las Vegas Raiders13.4% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
KC1-0 (1.000)
LV0-1 (0.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
KC2-0 (1.000)
LV1-1 (0.500)
EDGE
3Common games
KC1-0 (1.000)
LV1-0 (1.000)
TIED
4Conference record
KC4-0 (1.000)
LV2-2 (0.500)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
KC40.0%
LV6.7%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
KC40.0%
LV33.3%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
KC#9
LV#15
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
KC#18
LV#30
EDGE
9Net points in common games
KC+14
LV+14
TIED
10Net points in all games
KC+41
LV+3
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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