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THU 8:15 PM ET
SEA
DEN
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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

1-4Houston Texans24.7% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEJacksonville JaguarsDivision tiebreak
4-1Jacksonville Jaguars98.1% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?Results against common opponents can change the common-games comparison as the season progresses.
1Head-to-head
HOUNo games yet
JAXNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
2Division record
HOU1-1 (0.500)
JAXNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
3Common games
HOU0-1 (0.000)
JAX1-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
4Conference record
HOU1-3 (0.250)
JAX3-1 (0.750)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
HOU0.0%
JAX55.0%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
HOU44.0%
JAX56.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
HOU#18
JAX#7
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
HOU#34
JAX#12
EDGE
9Net points in common games
HOU-14
JAX+5
EDGE
10Net points in all games
HOU-2
JAX+53
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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