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THU 8:15 PM ET
SEA
DEN
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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

3-2Detroit Lions86.5% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEMinnesota VikingsDivision tiebreak
5-0Minnesota Vikings89.2% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?Future conference games can move this criterion in either direction.
1Head-to-head
DETNo games yet
MINNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
2Division record
DETNo games yet
MIN2-0 (1.000)
NOT ACTIVE YET
3Common games
DET1-0 (1.000)
MIN1-0 (1.000)
TIED
4Conference record
DET2-1 (0.667)
MIN4-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
5Strength of victory
DET26.7%
MIN32.0%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
DET41.7%
MIN32.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
DET#14
MIN#12
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
DET#30
MIN#22
EDGE
9Net points in common games
DET+1
MIN+10
EDGE
10Net points in all games
DET+16
MIN+45
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

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