Scores View all
THU 8:15 PM ET
SEA
DEN
—
—
NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

3-2Denver Broncos55.5% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEKansas City ChiefsDivision tiebreak
4-0Kansas City Chiefs96.2% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
DEN0-1 (0.000)
KC1-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
DEN1-1 (0.500)
KC2-0 (1.000)
EDGE
3Common games
DENNo games yet
KCNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
4Conference record
DEN2-1 (0.667)
KC4-0 (1.000)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
DEN40.0%
KC40.0%
TIED
6Strength of schedule
DEN62.5%
KC40.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
DEN#19
KC#9
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
DEN#40
KC#18
EDGE
9Net points in common games
DEN0
KC0
NOT ACTIVE YET
10Net points in all games
DEN-14
KC+41
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com