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NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

2-3Dallas Cowboys36.7% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGENew York GiantsDivision tiebreak
3-1-1New York Giants38.6% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?A remaining head-to-head meeting can change or erase the current head-to-head edge.
1Head-to-head
DAL0-1 (0.000)
NYG1-0 (1.000)
DECISIVE
2Division record
DAL1-1 (0.500)
NYG1-0-1 (0.750)
EDGE
3Common games
DAL1-0 (1.000)
NYG0-0-1 (0.500)
EDGE
4Conference record
DAL1-2 (0.333)
NYG2-1-1 (0.625)
EDGE
5Strength of victory
DAL25.0%
NYG20.0%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
DAL44.0%
NYG26.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
DAL#15
NYG#16
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
DAL#31
NYG#30
EDGE
9Net points in common games
DAL+17
NYG0
EDGE
10Net points in all games
DAL+2
NYG+3
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com