NFL Tiebreaker LabSEE WHY ONE
SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD
Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.
4-1Buffalo Bills97.1% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGEJacksonville JaguarsWild-card / cross-division tiebreak
4-1Jacksonville Jaguars98.2% playoff odds
Criteria Order
Wild-card / cross-division tiebreakWhere the tiebreak is decided
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?Future conference games can move this criterion in either direction.
1Head-to-head
BUFNo games yet
JAXNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET2Conference record
BUF2-1 (0.667)
JAX3-1 (0.750)
DECISIVE3Common games (minimum four)
BUF0-1 (0.000)
JAX1-0 (1.000)
NOT ACTIVE YET4Strength of victory
BUF30.0%
JAX55.0%
EDGE5Strength of schedule
BUF36.0%
JAX56.0%
EDGE6Combined conference points rank
BUF#17
JAX#7
EDGE7Combined league points rank
BUF#29
JAX#12
EDGE8Net points in conference games
BUF+10
JAX+51
EDGE9Net points in all games
BUF+23
JAX+53
EDGEThis explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.
This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.
Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.