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2026 NFL WEEK 6

GAME
LEVERAGE INDEX

Which games matter beyond the scoreboard? FSN measures how much each result can move playoff, division and No. 1-seed paths across the league.

100WEEK'S MAXRelative scale
#1
100LEVERAGE
AWAYDallas Cowboys
AT
HOMEGreen Bay Packers
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
DALPlayoff odds18.8 ptsOwn result
GBPlayoff odds18.8 ptsOwn result
NYGDivision odds8.8 ptsRoot for GB
PHIDivision odds4.3 ptsRoot for GB
#2
99LEVERAGE
AWAYHouston Texans
AT
HOMEJacksonville Jaguars
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
JAXNo. 1 seed odds18.7 ptsOwn result
HOUPlayoff odds17.5 ptsOwn result
BUFNo. 1 seed odds8.3 ptsRoot for HOU
NENo. 1 seed odds4.4 ptsRoot for HOU
#3
99LEVERAGE
AWAYChicago Bears
AT
HOMEAtlanta Falcons
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
ATLPlayoff odds19.3 ptsOwn result
CHIPlayoff odds17.2 ptsOwn result
CARDivision odds8.5 ptsRoot for CHI
LARPlayoff odds3.6 ptsRoot for ATL
#4
99LEVERAGE
AWAYBaltimore Ravens
AT
HOMECleveland Browns
26 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
BALDivision odds20.5 ptsOwn result
CLEPlayoff odds17.9 ptsOwn result
CINDivision odds6.7 ptsRoot for CLE
PITDivision odds3.1 ptsRoot for CLE
#5
97LEVERAGE
AWAYBuffalo Bills
AT
HOMELas Vegas Raiders
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
BUFDivision odds15.2 ptsOwn result
NEDivision odds15.0 ptsRoot for LV
LVPlayoff odds14.0 ptsOwn result
JAXNo. 1 seed odds8.7 ptsRoot for LV
#6
94LEVERAGE
AWAYSeattle Seahawks
AT
HOMEDenver Broncos
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
DENPlayoff odds16.0 ptsOwn result
SEAPlayoff odds14.9 ptsOwn result
KCDivision odds7.4 ptsRoot for SEA
SFDivision odds4.8 ptsRoot for DEN
#7
92LEVERAGE
AWAYCarolina Panthers
AT
HOMEPhiladelphia Eagles
27 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
CARPlayoff odds14.5 ptsOwn result
PHIPlayoff odds13.2 ptsOwn result
ATLDivision odds9.7 ptsRoot for PHI
DALDivision odds5.1 ptsRoot for CAR
#8
90LEVERAGE
AWAYNew York Jets
AT
HOMENew England Patriots
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
NEDivision odds14.4 ptsOwn result
BUFDivision odds13.1 ptsRoot for NYJ
NYJPlayoff odds9.6 ptsOwn result
INDPlayoff odds2.5 ptsRoot for NYJ
#9
90LEVERAGE
AWAYNew Orleans Saints
AT
HOMENew York Giants
27 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
NYGPlayoff odds18.6 ptsOwn result
PHIDivision odds7.8 ptsRoot for NO
DALDivision odds7.2 ptsRoot for NO
NOPlayoff odds3.8 ptsOwn result
#10
86LEVERAGE
AWAYArizona Cardinals
AT
HOMELos Angeles Rams
29 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
LARPlayoff odds18.8 ptsOwn result
GBPlayoff odds5.3 ptsRoot for ARI
CHIPlayoff odds3.0 ptsRoot for ARI
SEAPlayoff odds2.7 ptsRoot for ARI
#11
86LEVERAGE
AWAYLos Angeles Chargers
AT
HOMEKansas City Chiefs
30 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
KCDivision odds13.7 ptsOwn result
DENDivision odds11.3 ptsRoot for LAC
JAXNo. 1 seed odds4.7 ptsRoot for LAC
CLEPlayoff odds3.6 ptsRoot for KC
#12
84LEVERAGE
AWAYPittsburgh Steelers
AT
HOMETampa Bay Buccaneers
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
PITPlayoff odds15.7 ptsOwn result
TBPlayoff odds6.1 ptsOwn result
BALDivision odds4.8 ptsRoot for TB
CARDivision odds3.5 ptsRoot for PIT
#13
82LEVERAGE
AWAYWashington Commanders
AT
HOMESan Francisco 49ers
29 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
SFNo. 1 seed odds14.0 ptsOwn result
SEADivision odds5.4 ptsRoot for WAS
DETNo. 1 seed odds4.9 ptsRoot for WAS
MINNo. 1 seed odds4.7 ptsRoot for WAS
#14
70LEVERAGE
AWAYTennessee Titans
AT
HOMEIndianapolis Colts
28 teams with modeled impactGame Center →
Biggest downstream swings
INDPlayoff odds8.8 ptsOwn result
JAXNo. 1 seed odds4.1 ptsRoot for TEN
BUFNo. 1 seed odds3.0 ptsRoot for IND
LVPlayoff odds2.8 ptsRoot for TEN
FSN Leverage Score

Relative to this week — not a betting grade.

FSN Leverage Score is relative within the selected week. It blends the largest modeled playoff/division/No. 1-seed swings with how many clubs are materially affected; it is not a betting rating. The underlying probability swings come from the same saved season trials used by the Playoff Predictor and Rooting Guide.

NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com