Scores View all
THU 8:15 PM ET
SEA
DEN
—
—
NFL Tiebreaker Lab

SEE WHY ONE
TEAM IS AHEAD

Compare the current completed-game tiebreak state criterion by criterion. If the standings require a tiebreak, these are the steps that matter; future results can change which step becomes decisive.

VS

1-4New Orleans Saints4.4% playoff odds
CURRENT TIEBREAK EDGETampa Bay BuccaneersDivision tiebreak
1-4Tampa Bay Buccaneers8.5% playoff odds
Criteria Order

Where the tiebreak is decided

Division tiebreak
WHAT CAN FLIP IT?Future conference games can move this criterion in either direction.
1Head-to-head
NONo games yet
TBNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
2Division record
NO0-1 (0.000)
TBNo games yet
NOT ACTIVE YET
3Common games
NO0-1 (0.000)
TB0-1 (0.000)
TIED
4Conference record
NO0-3 (0.000)
TB1-2 (0.333)
DECISIVE
5Strength of victory
NO80.0%
TB40.0%
EDGE
6Strength of schedule
NO68.0%
TB64.0%
EDGE
7Combined conference points rank
NO#24
TB#22
EDGE
8Combined league points rank
NO#46
TB#40
EDGE
9Net points in common games
NO-10
TB-7
EDGE
10Net points in all games
NO-33
TB-12
EDGE

This explains the current completed-game tiebreak state using the same criteria order as the FSN season model. A tiebreak only determines position when the standings require one, and future results can change which criterion becomes decisive.

Important

This is a live explanation, not a frozen verdict.

Tiebreakers are evaluated from completed games. A future head-to-head result, conference game or common opponent can move the decision to a different criterion. Multi-team ties can also use restart rules that differ from a simple two-team comparison.

NFL data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · College data via CollegeFootballData.com